Home Run Derby 2024 Predictions: Expert Picks, Participants, and Start Time

Globe Life Field in Arlington is all set to host the exciting 2024 Home Run Derby this Monday at 8 p.m. ET. Instead of the traditional bracket-style showdown, this year, all eight participants will face off against each other directly. The top four scorers will move on to the semi-finals, with the highest scorer from the first round earning the No. 1 seed, followed by the others in descending order of their scores. The ultimate winner will walk away with a cool $1 million prize. Pete Alonso, a two-time champion (2019, 2021), is the favorite with odds at +305 (risk $100 to win $305) for the 2024 Derby.

Two promising young shortstops, Gunnar Henderson (+400) and Bobby Witt Jr. (+410), are also high on the odds list. Following them are seasoned players like Marcell Ozuna (+470) and Adolis Garcia (+600), with Teoscar Hernandez (+1200), Jose Ramirez (+1400), and Alec Bohm (+2400) considered the longshots. But before you lock in your picks for the 2024 MLB Home Run Derby, you need to hear from SportsLine expert Alex Selesnick.

Expert Insight from Alex Selesnick

Alex Selesnick, known for his sharp prop betting strategies, combines research, statistical analysis, and mathematical modeling to make his picks. Since joining CBS Sports in 2021, Selesnick, also known as PropStarz, has been delivering consistent winners on SportsLine.com and “The Early Edge,” a popular daily betting show. As SportsLine’s top MLB expert, he has an impressive record of 189-127 on his last 316 MLB player props, bringing in over $2,900 for $100 bettors.

Selesnick has thoroughly analyzed the latest 2024 Home Run Derby odds and locked in his picks. To see his expert predictions, head over to SportsLine now.

2024 Home Run Derby Expert Prediction

Selesnick advises against betting on Gunnar Henderson for the 2024 Home Run Derby despite his second-best odds at +400. Henderson leads all Derby participants in home runs this season, but history isn’t on his side. Since the Home Run Derby switched to a bracket-style format in 2014, no player with the most home runs entering the competition has won. Additionally, this will be Henderson’s first Home Run Derby and All-Star Game, making it a potentially overwhelming weekend for the young 23-year-old. The Derby is a dream come true for many, but nerves and excitement can be huge factors, especially if Henderson starts off slow. No shortstop has won the Derby since Miguel Tejada in 2004.

Henderson is currently third in home runs in the league (28), trailing only Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani. However, this impressive stat has actually lowered his odds, making Selesnick wary of betting on him for the 2024 Home Run Derby. For Selesnick’s top bet, check out his best pick right here on SportsLine.

How to Make Your 2024 Home Run Derby Picks

Selesnick has meticulously evaluated the 2024 Home Run Derby field and has locked in his top choice for the win. You can find his expert pick and in-depth analysis exclusively at SportsLine.

So, who will come out on top in the 2024 MLB Home Run Derby? Visit SportsLine to get Selesnick’s top picks and find out which MLB expert has consistently returned over $2,700 on his MLB player prop bets.

2024 MLB Home Run Derby Odds and Participants

  • Pete Alonso: +305
  • Gunnar Henderson: +400
  • Bobby Witt Jr.: +410
  • Marcell Ozuna: +470
  • Adolis Garcia: +600
  • Teoscar Hernandez: +1200
  • Jose Ramirez: +1400
  • Alec Bohm: +2400